Tag: Grand strategy
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Globalization Suspended Geopolitics
For several decades, U.S. strategic planning has increasingly focused on the Indo-Pacific as the central theatre of global power competition. This assumption underlies force posture decisions, alliance structures, and the designation of China as the primary pacing threat. Yet if the geopolitical conditions that sustained globalisation weaken, some of these assumptions may prove less certain.…
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The Strait That Tests an Order
Author Comment This essay explores a structural question in strategy: why major wars tend to emerge during periods of institutional strain rather than political stability. If crisis periods weaken legitimacy and intensify internal division, external conflict can become more than a geopolitical contest. It becomes a test of whether the political system itself can sustain…
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Preview — March 10, 2026
Preview — March 10, 2026 Strategy often fails not because power is lacking, but because the analogy guiding it is wrong. Treating Iran like Venezuela — assuming sustained pressure will fracture elites and produce a compliant successor — is a dangerous misread. Iran’s authority rests on dense clerical, security, and ideological institutions, as well as…
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After the Winter: Collapse, Spring, and a New First Turning
After the Winter: Collapse, Spring, and a New First Turning